Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.162050 0.185258 0.211452 0.243371 0.281437 0.325655 0.381310
2025-07-06 0.123954 0.153534 0.190454 0.240620 0.308098 0.397333 0.527048
2025-07-13 0.103942 0.136531 0.180379 0.245192 0.341222 0.482797 0.716461
2025-07-20 0.090765 0.124829 0.173476 0.250499 0.374308 0.575010 0.946983
2025-07-27 0.081044 0.115753 0.167842 0.255292 0.406251 0.672869 1.223965
2025-08-03 0.073949 0.109154 0.164343 0.262003 0.442009 0.786798 1.580236
2025-08-10 0.067396 0.102286 0.159054 0.264204 0.469611 0.893237 1.972240
2025-08-17 0.061747 0.096028 0.153668 0.264901 0.494071 1.000644 2.424786
2025-08-24 0.056649 0.089997 0.147718 0.263260 0.513098 1.102141 2.923142
2025-08-31 0.051971 0.084115 0.141185 0.259207 0.525802 1.192899 3.450772
2025-09-07 0.049256 0.081352 0.139947 0.265579 0.563687 1.362576 4.375177
2025-09-14 0.045536 0.076372 0.133871 0.260632 0.573225 1.458079 5.106854
2025-09-21 0.042961 0.073302 0.131249 0.263109 0.603068 1.629578 6.350630
2025-09-28 0.040069 0.069363 0.126452 0.259923 0.617554 1.760891 7.573026
2025-10-05 0.038248 0.067298 0.125222 0.264911 0.656332 1.995438 9.697860
2025-10-12 0.036664 0.065535 0.124397 0.270739 0.699533 2.271645 12.589461
2025-10-19 0.035169 0.063800 0.123417 0.276012 0.742935 2.576713 16.383136
2025-10-26 0.033950 0.062510 0.123252 0.283401 0.795873 2.960436 21.945785
2025-11-02 0.032477 0.060555 0.121362 0.285825 0.833093 3.300078 28.281629
2025-11-09 0.031015 0.058499 0.119014 0.286594 0.865054 3.640358 36.113709
2025-11-16 0.029514 0.056234 0.115936 0.284785 0.887233 3.948469 45.136998
2025-11-23 0.027977 0.053775 0.112153 0.280321 0.898106 4.203498 54.918857
2025-11-30 0.027199 0.052921 0.112174 0.287341 0.958220 4.828296 77.535186